Legislative Council
9 February 1999  

MANUFACTURING INDUSTRY

 In reply to Hon. SANDRA KANCK (25 November 1998).

The Hon. R.I. LUCAS: As pointed out in my response at the time of the question, the impact of Riverlink on greenhouse gas emissions depends on the amount of energy that moves across the link.

The following table sets out some of the key parameters.

 

Parameter Level

Units

Riverlink capacity

250

MW

Black Coal plant CO2 emissions1

.93

Tonnes CO2 per MWh

New Combined Cycle power plant CO2 emissions1

.39

Tonnes CO2 per MWh

Peaking plant CO2 emissions

.72

Tonnes CO2 per MWh

TIPS B CO2 emissions2

.60

Tonnes CO2 per MWh

To illustrate the potential impact of Riverlink on greenhouse gas emissions, we consider three cases. The impact of these cases is put in perspective by the total energy sector CO2 emissions in South Australia of slightly less than 20 million tonnes of CO3.

1 Interim Report (13 August 1998) of the Efficiency Standards Working Group, a group chaired by the Australian Greenhouse Office, page 12.

2 Estimate by Energetics, advisors to ERSU.

3 `The Economic Impact of Climate Change Policy on South Australia', The Centre for Economic Studies of Adelaide and Flinders Universities, July 1998, page 36.

The first of the two cases represents the Government's analysis that Riverlink, under current NSW electricity spot market prices, provides few energy benefits and has correspondingly low energy flows. In the first case, we assume that the energy from Riverlink is dispatched like a peaking unit in South Australia and displaces South Australian peaking units.

Case 1

Expected Case—Few Riverlink Energy Benefits

Energy from Riverlink

5 per cent capacity factor

x

260 MW

x

8 760 hours per year

109 500 MWh per year

CO2 emissions from South Australian peaking unit

.72 tonnes CO2 per MWh

x

109 500 MWh per year

78 840 tonnes CO2 per year

CO2 emissions from NSW black coal unit

.93 tonnes CO2 per MWh

x

109 500 MWh per year

101 835 tonnes CO2 per year

Annual increase in CO2 emissions due to Riverlink

101 835 tonnes CO2 per year

less

78 840 tonnes CO2 per year

22 995 tonnes CO2 per year

The second case represents the NSW unsupported claims that Riverlink provides large energy benefits. In this case, we assume that the energy from Riverlink is dispatched like a baseload unit in South Australia and is dispatched in a manner that TIPS B energy is displaced.

Case 2

NSW Claimed Case—Large Riverlink Benefits

Energy from Riverlink

95 per cent capacity factor

x

260 MW

x

8 760 hours per year

2 080 500 MWh per year

CO2 emissions from TIPS B unit

.60 tonnes CO2 per MWh

x

2 080 500 MWh per year

1 248 300 tonnes CO2 per year

CO2 emissions from NSW black coal unit

.93 tonnes CO2 per MWh

x

2 080 500 MWh per year

1 934 865 tonnes CO2 per year

Annual increase in CO2 emissions due to Riverlink

1 934 865 tonnes CO2 per year

less

1 248 300 tonnes CO2 per year

686 565 tonnes CO2 per year

The third case represents the NSW unsupported claims that Riverlink provides large energy benefits, combined with Riverlink replacing the new entrant power plant. This case is purely hypothetical, as the new entrant is essential to meet capacity needs and Riverlink cannot be operational in time to meet those needs. In this case, we assume that the energy from Riverlink is dispatched like a baseload unit in South Australia and replaces energy from the New Entrant combined cycle power plant.

Case 3

NSW Claimed Case—Large Riverlink Benefits and New Entrant not built (hypothetical)

Energy from Riverlink

95 per cent capacity factor

x

260 MW

x

8 760 hours per year

2 080 500 MWh per year

CO2 emissions from New Entrant

.39 tonnes CO2 per MWh

x

2 080 500 MWh per year

811 395 tonnes CO2 per year

CO2 emissions from NSW black coal unit

.93 tonnes CO2 per MWh

x

2 080 500 MWh per year

1 934 865 tonnes CO2 per year

Annual increase in CO2 emissions due to Riverlink

1 934 865 tonnes CO2 per year

less

811 395 tonnes CO2 per year

1 123 470 tonnes CO2 per year

Greenhouse Gas Emissions Accounting

The second question asked by the honourable member is how any increases in greenhouse gas emissions due to Riverlink will be accounted for. There is general consensus that greenhouse gas emissions should be measured and controlled at the source of the emissions. However, any measures to control emissions at the source are likely to make electricity from that source more expensive. This would make electricity delivered over Riverlink even more expensive and would tend to make South Australian gas-fired generators more competitive.

However, there is some uncertainty about the method of emissions accounting that might be used in Australia4 5. If there were a system that measured emissions at the point of consumption, then Riverlink would increase the amount of emissions that would be attributed to South Australia.

4 `The Economic Impact of Climate Change Policy on South Australia,' The Centre for economic Studies of Adelaide and Flinders Universities, july 1998, page 61.

5 `Emissions Trading in Australia, developing a framework,' ABARE Research Report, 98.1, March 1998, page 28.


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